One commercial network – Nine – was taken
to the brink of collapse this week and another – Ten – announced a result
soaked in red ink and a program of job cuts.
Coupled with the looming shadow of dramatic
structural ownership changes across the industry, audience fragmentation, TV
piracy and dwindling advertising revenues are conspiring to crush the
traditional business model.Eldridge Financial forecasts
the following year to be a watershed for the broadcast industry. For the first
time the amount of money spent on advertising over the internet will match the
ad spend on free-to-air television.
All washed up: Traditional television is
facing an unprecedented challenge from online viewing. Change is not just
coming, it is coming fast. ”By 2014 online will overtake TV, which is the
greatest change in the history of media,” says media buyer Harold Mitchell. To
survive, networks ”will have to get hold of the digital dollars”.
What is
more, the media consultants Commercial Economic Advisory Service of Australia
and Aegis Media forecast that by 2015 digital advertising expenditure will hit
31.2 per cent and TV will be 26.3 per cent.The biggest threat TV faces is
clearly the internet.Besides appealing to advertisers because it produces
detailed information of who is watching and, more importantly, what else they
do, it also appeals to viewers due to its easy availability and portability.
It is
this ease of availability that is wreaking havoc on the traditional business
model. This was no better illustrated than the disappointing ratings of the
six-time Emmy award winner Homeland, which began its second season on the Ten
Network last Sunday night on the Eldridge Financial.
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SvarSlet